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     Total R&D expenditures in the United States are expected to increase about 3.5 percent to $285.6 billion in 2002, according to the annual Battelle-R&D Magazine research and development forecast.

        Three significant factors have combined to exert influence on the state of R&D funding for the current year.

        The three factors include the change in presidential administration, the faltering economy and the events and aftermath of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

        “The effects of these are not simply isolated and cumulative,” said Dr. Jules Duga, a Battelle senior researcher and co-author of the report. “It is clear that there are interactions among the three, and-when superimposed upon what one might consider a normal set of circumstances of change-their effects are somewhat more difficult to deal with.”

        Highlights from the forecast are:

        •The federal government is expected to spend $75.5 billion on R&D in 2002, a 4.7 percent increase over the prior year.

        •Industry continues to lead in the number of dollars funding R&D with nearly $195 billion expected to be spent in 2002, which is a 3.2 percent increase.

        •Academia and non-profits provide the other significant portion of national R&D funding which is expected to be $15.4 billion, about 3 percent more than was committed in 2001.

        The impact of significant external forces cannot be underestimated. “In previous years, the analysis of the emerging patterns of R&D could readily accommodate almost any singular disruption and could present a reasonable picture of the anticipated effects,” Duga said. “However, the concurrent triple-whammy experienced over the past few ...

     

 

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