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Financial
Globalization:
The
Case of Mexican Banking
By:
Robert V. Bubel & Edward C. Skelton
While international capital markets have been developing
for some time, direct foreign entry into the domestic banking
sector of many countries has occurred only recently. Similarly,
while consolidation of the financial services industry is not new,
it is now beginning to transcend national borders in a more
substantial way. These changes have occurred as a growing number
of countries have considerably loosened long-standing restrictions
on the foreign ownership of banks, thereby allowing financial
globalization to advance on an unprecedented scale.
Most significant policy changes have their advocates and
opponents, and the recent liberalization allowing global banking
services is no exception. Advocates say global banking promotes
improved practices and financial stability. But opponents claim
foreign banks may lack commitment to the host country or be
inordinately competitive with domestic banks, resulting in risk
too great for domestic bank supervisors to control.
As
global banking grows, the debate continues.
The situation in
Mexico
may shed light on this debate. The globalization of Mexican
banking began in early 1994 with the North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA), which represented a significant step away from
the country’s history of a closed banking system. The peso
devaluation of December 1994 subsequently put
Mexico
’s banks on the brink of failure. Since then, however,
Mexico
has made numerous moves to stabilize both its economy and
financial system, including further liberalization of foreign
banking restrictions.
This process of deregulation, coupled with technological
and economic factors propelling a general trend toward
globalization, recently culminated in the foreign acquisition of
the three largest Mexican banks, all within less than 18 months.
As a result,
Mexico
is the largest economy in the world where such an overwhelming
majority of commercial bank assets—almost 80 percent—are
controlled by foreign financial institutions. As such,
Mexico
provides a fertile testing ground for assessing the merits of the
arguments for and against financial globalization. While this new
chapter in
Mexico
’s modern history is only just beginning, the early evidence
strongly favors an open policy toward global banking.
A
little history
Prior to NAFTA, individual foreign banks could hold no more
than a 5 percent stake in a Mexican bank, and total foreign
ownership in any single bank was limited to 30 percent. The only
exception was granted to a
U.S.
institution, Citigroup, whose presence dates back to 1929, when it
opened a branch bank in
Mexico
. This branch was allowed to continue operating, albeit under
substantial regulatory restrictions.
NAFTA opened the Mexican banking system to foreign banks by
permitting entry through the establishment of newly chartered
subsidiaries. In 1994, Citigroup converted its branch into a
separate legal subsidiary, and Banco Santander Central Hispano (BSCH)
of
Spain
established a presence in
Mexico
. In 1995, 13 other
U.S.
, European and Japanese banks entered the Mexican market through
the establishment of new charters. Most of these banks formed a
holding company, or grupo financiero, which held their banking
interests in addition to other financial subsidiaries, such as
leasing companies and broker–dealers.
Near the end of 1994, the Mexican peso was devalued,
highlighting the growing strain in the banking system, which was
damaged severely in the economic crisis that ensued. To attract
much-needed capital, the Mexican Congress passed financial reform
permitting foreign investors to acquire all or part of most
existing banks. Still, foreign acquisition of the three largest
banks was effectively prohibited. These reforms led to the
acquisition of medium-sized commercial banks (between $5 billion
and $10 billion) by Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) of
Spain
in 1996 and BSCH in 1997. In addition, Citigroup expanded through
the acquisition of Banca Confía, a medium-sized bank, in 1998.
Each acquisition involved some form of financial assistance from
the Mexican government. The government, meanwhile, took management
control of 14 additional troubled banks.
By year-end 1998,
Mexico
already had more foreign than domestic banks. However, foreign
banks controlled only 20 percent of banking system assets. BBVA,
BSCH and Citigroup controlled 7, 6 and 5 percent of total
commercial bank assets, respectively. None of the other foreign
banks had a market share greater than 1 percent.
Legislation removed all
remaining market-share limitations on foreign ownership in
December 1998 and created a deposit insurance and asset-resolution
agency, Instituto para la Protección al Ahorro Bancario (IPAB),
with stronger and well-defined powers, unlike its predecessor.
Subject to overview by the Mexican Congress, IPAB immediately
began resolving government-intervened banks through the auction of
bank assets and, in some cases, entire banks, to domestic and
foreign buyers.
Catalysts
for globalization
In addition to deregulation, other forces in
Mexico
and around the world have propelled the country toward greater
integration with the international community.
The economic fundamentals
Mexico
currently enjoys, especially in comparison with those of many
other developing markets, have further increased the banking
system’s attractiveness to foreign suitors. In addition to
comprehensive financial system reform and modernization,
Mexico
has implemented and maintained strict monetary and fiscal
discipline.
Mexico
has successfully hit inflation targets in recent years and
anticipates an inflation rate of about 3 percent by 2003, compared
with 52 percent in 1995. The president and Congress have exhibited
a commitment to reining in public spending, as evidenced by a
shrinking budget deficit, and the political system itself has
proven to be stable.
Common currencies, economic communities and trading blocs
are eliminating obstacles to global expansion, a primary example
being the European Community and the euro, which have facilitated
merger activity among European banks. In this regard, while
Mexico
has a local currency, almost one-third of its bank assets and
liabilities are denominated in U.S. dollars, and the Mexican peso
has been relatively stable in recent years. Moreover, trade with
the
United States
has flourished under NAFTA.
Additionally, technological innovations have changed bank
products and revolutionized delivery systems. Advances in
telecommunications and the Internet have especially benefited
global expansion by enabling financial transactions and managerial
control to easily traverse geographic boundaries. Such
developments have reduced the information barrier traditionally
associated with the distance between an organization’s head
office and its subsidiaries.
Large-scale
foreign entry
Spurred by these developments, a rapid-fire sequence
occurred in which foreign banks acquired
Mexico
’s three largest banks in less than a year and a half. In May
1999 IPAB took control of Grupo Financiero Serfín, and in May
2000 this financial group was auctioned to BSCH. Immediately
following this transaction, BBVA acquired a controlling interest
in
Mexico
’s second-largest financial group, Grupo Financiero Bancomer.
The transaction was consummated in August 2000, dramatically
increasing BBVA’s stake in
Mexico
and making the newly formed Grupo Financiero BBVA Bancomer the
country’s largest banking group. This acquisition was the first
significant foreign acquisition completed without financial
assistance from the Mexican government. In the second quarter of
2001, Citigroup announced it would buy Grupo Financiero Banacci
Accival (Banacci), which owns Banco Nacional de México (Banamex).
The transaction was completed in September 2001.
Reflecting these acquisitions, the Mexican commercial
banking system currently consists of 11 domestic and 19 foreign
organizations. The foreign banks include nine
U.S.
institutions, two Spanish banks, six other European banks, one
Canadian bank and one Japanese bank. Foreign banks now hold nearly
79 percent of total commercial bank assets. Together, BBVA,
Citigroup and BSCH hold 66 percent of these assets.
Mexico
is not alone in these developments. Latin American banks in
general have often been targets for foreign acquisition in recent
years. Foreign banks now maintain a substantial presence in most
Latin American countries. However,
Mexico
stands out in terms of the extent of foreign banking, especially
given the large size of its economy.
Benefits
for
Mexico
Insufficient time has elapsed to comprehensively assess any
differences in overall banking system performance resulting from
foreign institutions’ prominence in the Mexican banking system.
Nevertheless, the trends have been positive. Each of the acquired
banks has reported success in cutting costs, resulting in improved
earnings and increased pressure on domestic banks to rationalize
their own operations in order to remain competitive. As the cost
synergies associated with recent acquisitions are fully realized,
further operating-expense reductions are expected. More important,
the capital adequacy of the three largest banks has improved, in
some cases through capital injections provided by the new foreign
parent companies.
In broader terms, the institutional changes since
Mexico
opened its banking sector to direct foreign entry correspond to
the benefits claimed by the proponents of global banking in terms
of improved practices and financial stability. A full analysis of
the benefits of financial globalization must consider this process
as a whole, rather than narrowly focus on the behavior of the
foreign banks. In conjunction with the opening of its banking
sector, the Mexican government has concentrated on stabilization,
modernization, transparency and a drive toward internationally
comparable standards and objectives.
A look at some related industry developments clearly shows
that
Mexico
’s financial system has been much improved and strengthened. The
supervisory authorities have implemented a new bank monitoring and
rating system, and accounting principles have continued to evolve
closer to international standards. Furthermore, supervisors have
moved quickly to promulgate new risk-management policies and
processes for credit administration. For example,
asset–liability management policies have been improved to better
assess value at risk and mitigate liquidity and interest rate
mismatches. While markets have generally stabilized over the past
few years, the effects of these improvements in asset–liability
management are reflected in less volatile market-related gains and
losses. Moreover, the corporate community and governing
authorities have enhanced the disclosure of financial information
and established new corporate governance laws that strengthen the
accountability of bank directors and increase the rights of
minority shareholders.
These are the types of advances globalization advocates
have contended would result from international banks’ direct
entry into a domestic market. A strong foreign presence brings
world-class banking practices, heightened competitiveness, and the
need for institutional and policy arrangements fully supportive of
modern financial services. This process of change in
Mexico
undoubtedly began even before the onset of direct foreign
ownership, as international players had already been competing
with domestic institutions to serve
Mexico
’s largest and most sought-after corporate borrowers.
Globalization
concerns misguided
The path of progress has admittedly been a rough one for
Mexico
, as evidenced by the 1994 peso devaluation. But from a longer
term perspective, even the peso crisis and its associated banking
problems proved to be positive in that they helped spur the
improvements and modernization subsequently undertaken by
governing authorities and Mexican banks.
Opponents often emphasize the perceived weaknesses of an
open financial system by referring to examples, such as
Mexico
’s, of financial liberalization followed by financial crisis.
But this ignores the underlying institutional and policy problems
that typically have accompanied financial crises. A more thorough
assessment would consider the possibility that adverse financial
developments in the context of a deregulated environment might
reflect deeper problems, rather than being the direct result of
financial liberalization itself.
In Mexico’s case, the 1994 peso crisis highlighted, among
other things, the need to pursue the types of improvements to the
financial infrastructure that Mexico has since successfully
undertaken. Only through these efforts have domestic banking
practices, the supervisory process, information quality and
corporate governance been made commensurate with the demands of
the global marketplace.
A
positive direction
Mexico
has established a strong foundation for economic growth and
prosperity. Accompanying the banking sector’s openness to
foreign ownership and competition has been a large-scale
modernization of regulatory practices and accounting standards,
together with significantly increased disclosure and corporate
governance requirements. In addition to opening its banking
sector,
Mexico
has signed 10 free trade agreements in recent years, encompassing
35 countries that account for more than half of the world’s GDP.
More time must elapse before the full effect of these
changes on financial and economic performance can be assessed.
Nevertheless, developments point firmly in a positive direction,
especially in terms of the banking system’s capital adequacy.
Reflecting
Mexico
’s financial success, the peso has remained fairly stable over
the past three years, whereas the currencies of many other major
Latin American countries have depreciated.
Within less than 18 months,
Mexico
’s three largest banks were bought by foreign institutions.
Cause for concern? We think not. Rather,
Mexico
’s policy of openness is likely to result in continuing economic
benefits far greater than what was widely expected only a few
years ago.
Robert V. Bubel and Edward C.
Skelton are international financial analysts in the Financial
Industry Studies Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of
Dallas
.
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